Thinking about the axis of conflict.
Thinking about the axis of conflict.
The war in Ukraine has led to an increase in talk of a "global Cold War structure again".
This point to a confrontation between the camps of NATO and the West vs. Russia and the former Warsaw Pact Organization, and possibly adding China, which is increasingly moving to change the status quo by force.
This confrontation, which will differ from the Cold War structure of the past, is somewhat less ideological in nature, such as communism vs. liberalism, and is also somewhat different from the confrontation based on political systems, such as despotism vs. democracy.
It is also somewhat different from the confrontational political system of despotism versus democracy, as in the claim that "President Trump has helped to divide America." In this case, radical conservatives who support Trump and liberals who support the Democratic Party are sometimes grouped together by their radicalism.
I have been thinking a lot about these opposing axes or opposing groups, and I have come to the wild conclusion that they may come down to the age-old ideological conflict between (1) realism and (2) idealism.
On the other hand, we are also seeing movements such as "economic security" and "economic statecraft," as well as "rethinking economic activities and geopolitical risks," and an increasing number of issues that straddle both the economy and national security.
But in the first place, I wonder if the economy and security do not go side by side, or if there are different stances in the way of thinking for the two companies to come to terms with each other, with each placing more emphasis on (3) military thinking or (4) economic thinking, which I believe is a factor that makes compromise impossible.
Here, I would like to consider the position of each of (1) and (2) and (3) and (4) in terms of their respective strengths and weaknesses, using the axes of opposition as the vertical and horizontal coordinate axes.
In other words, this is an attempt to organize the characteristics of the ideas of (1) and (3), (1) and (4), (2) and (3), and (2) and (4), respectively, and place them on a diagram to see their variance.
Although not enough to reiterate here, from the perspective of their respective opposing axes, (1) "realism" and (2) "idealism" are roughly organized here. (The items are listed in no particular order.)
(1) Realism
Realism is a position that emphasizes reality and deals with the situation at hand rather than pursuing ideals.
In international relations, they emphasize national interests over ideals and are critical of idealists who emphasize beliefs.
He is critical of idealists who place importance on beliefs.
They tend to think in terms of profit and loss, and are prone to adopting innate evil theory.
On the other hand, idealism is
Idealism is the opposite of realism.
They are characterized by their beliefs rather than their practical interests, and they disregard the profit and loss of their actions.
They tend to stand on the principle of "goodness of character" because of their ideals.
In the same way, we can organize (3) "Military Thinking" and (4) "Economic Thinking.
Military thinking
Military thinking deals directly with human life.
Since it is a matter of life or death, it become to "all or nothing" or "Das Beste oder nichts", become polar opposites from economical ideas.
Deductive logic draws conclusions from general and universal facts.
Logical judgment and viewpoints place the greatest emphasis on intelligence, and judgment is made from God's viewpoint by aligning information.
∙ Military thinking dealing with power and life is pessimistic.
The historical viewpoint emphasizes history, reading the law and applying it to reality.
When the unexpected happens, it's the time you lose.
Military thinking is a zero-sum game and wants to create a virtual enemy.
On the other hand, (4) economic thinking is a positive-sum game and the profit motive is common.
Economic thinking is an inductive method that draws conclusions by finding commonalities among multiple cases, and it considers things from a human perspective.
Economic thinking is optimistic.
The premise of economic thinking is not the transaction of life, but the question of profit or loss.
when the lives are lost for economic reasons, it's come from socially and indirectly reason.
Economic thinking is indifferent to history.
It is flexible to the unexpected, and a pinch is an opportunity, and there are many examples of innovation.
Now, let's look at the following
Combination of (1) and (3) (realists with military mindset)
(1) (4) (realist with economic thinking)
(2) (3) (Idealist with military mindset)
(3) (4) (Idealist with an economic mindset)
What picture would each of the four types paint if plotted on an axis of opposition?
How can we represent the intensity of each?
I take time to organize my thoughts. To be continued.
